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 Gripes aplenty amid wine glut 

Gripes aplenty amid wine glut

13 Jan, 2010 06:38 AM
The Australian and international wine glut is an example of market forces working normally. The call for vines to be pulled, with either implied or express government subsidies, is human nature working normally: the desire to privatise profits and socialise losses.

There's nothing new about wine industry figures calling for vine culling. In the early 1980s, the Federal and South Australian Governments were paying growers millions of dollars to do it. Then along came the Australian wine revolution and that subsidised destruction became the stuff of infamous legend.

Market forces being what they are though, if there's a buck to be made producing something, resources will be poured into producing it until that buck has been pretty well sopped up. Throw in some lifestyle farmers, the disgraced rural managed investment tax schemes - and that the rush into new vineyards was an international phenomenon, never mind the usual European subsidies - and, voila, a massive glut.

Wiser heads have been worried about overplanting for years. A quick Google finds a March 2000 Landline report on a looming glut, an increasingly regular theme as plantings continued apace over the decade.

The University of South Australia's Professor Larry Lockshin summarised the harsh reality in August's Wine Business Magazine:

''The market signal is very clear. Australia has too many grapes for the current world demand. Our style and our varieties are substitutable. Are there some that are unique enough to achieve a living for growers and wineries? The answer is yes, but again, these are the brands and styles that have built particular demand. There is no magic wand to wave over the 300,000 tonnes of excess grapes being grown in Australia that will miraculously transform them into a profitable crop.''

It was the elephant in the room of the 2008 Winemakers Federation of Australia Outlook conference your columnist had the pleasure of chairing, an elephant that was addressed, poked and prodded, but remained unmoved at the end of the proceedings.

No early-mover advantage

The reason for that is simple and two-fold: everyone wants other growers to be the ones to do it; and no-one wants to go to the considerable expense of pulling vines and returning land to pasture today if there's a chance the government might pay them to do it tomorrow. The growers going broke, the ones normally dealt with euphemistically by ''market forces'', haven't the funds to pull vines anyway.

So the chorus of glut, disaster and ruination steadily builds until it is loud enough to find a political ear attuned to this common-or-garden variety of agrarian socialism.

It's easy to be dismissive of their plight - no-one made them plant vineyards, many thousands of businesses fail each year without the exit subsidies some farmers can tap. Back the wrong horse and you can't expect a refund from the TAB.

But, on the other hand, why shouldn't grape growers try to line up for their suck of the taxpayer tit, or shake of the government sauce bottle? It looks like just about everyone else does.

The Rudd administration happily splashes nine-figure amounts on the local car manufacturers, does deals with pharmacy owners (the community cost of that nicely skewered by Jacob Saulwick yesterday) and Julia Gillard is gifting the ACTU's Union Education Foundation $10 million.

Good heavens, Anthony Albanese, every inch a product of the NSW Labor machine, tosses a lazy $10.4 million to the National Rugby League to build a new headquarters, but just make sure John Howard doesn't have an office in it.

And that's just a few of the more recent non-GFC-related interferences in markets of one kind or another that spring to mind.

You can pull a lot of vines for 10 or 20 million taxpayer dollars and arguably make a less-worse economic case for that compared with giving the money to the NRL and union shop stewards.

Unfortunately for the grape growers, they don't seem to have much union weight or be situated in marginal seats. And everyone except the producers enjoys wine bargains.

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comments


Date: Newest first | Oldest first
I vividly remember being told a few years ago by a very self satisfied vigneron of the Johnny come lately persuasion that "the difference between us vignerons and you grain and sheep growers is that we market our produce and you sell commodities."
Posted by Will, 13/01/2010 12:02:13 PM
Grape Growers- Go organic, stop fertilising, only do emergency watering and let sheep do all the lower pruning and mowing and I've just cut your costs by 80%. You then can make it through this glut. Hell, sheep prices are good at the moment. Sell lamb, wine and sheep cheese at the cellar door. Too easy...I'll be by for a chop on the 26th.
Posted by des gruntled, 14/01/2010 7:28:21 AM
If nothing else springs to mind remember this. Ultimately grapes are food. Half the bloody world is starving. Get the connection? Find a way.
Posted by ozfirst, 14/01/2010 7:40:25 AM
Yes Mr Pascoe, like all his scribbler colleagues, fails to add that we had a fed gov that designed tax incentives to promote the production of specific commodities. Have a read of their prospectus's - prices that bore NO resmblance with the real world. Guess what - when the gov suggests we need more of something - run the other way - very fast!!
Posted by g, 14/01/2010 8:24:24 AM
Farmers are great as growing supply in big chunks, while demand moves more linearly. So over time, the signals to the market being what they are, production will not grow, but demand will gradually do so. Then one day, the will be balance, and then imbalance in favour of producers. The experts will then say "plant grapes - the world wants our wine" and round we go again. Tax effectives account for less than 8% of all grapes planted since 2000: the problem is industry wide.
Posted by ME, 14/01/2010 1:55:09 PM

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