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 Grain prices tumble as investors seek safehavens 

Grain prices tumble as investors seek safehavens

7/10/2008 4:15:00 PM
Global commodity prices, including those for wheat, have collapsed today as investors shift funds into safehavens such as gold, prompting AWB to cut its estimated pool returns for the upcoming harvest.

The Chicago Board of Trade's agricultural futures are down across the board, with corn and soybeans finishing limit down.

According to CBOT's daily market wrap, Commodity News for Tommorrow, traders have been spooked by outside events on the broader financial markets.

"The dominant issue is the outside markets," it quoted one trader as saying.

"I think that's just a big headwind."

According to CBOT, December '08 corn closed US30c/bu down at 424c/bu; November '08 soybeans lost 70c/bu to 922c/bu; December '08 wheat lost 45c/bu to stand at 595.2c/bu; and December '08 oats lost 20c/bu to be 294c/bu.

Closer to home, AWB has today cut its Estimated Pool Returns for the 2008/09 AWB Eastern and Western Wheat Pools for all wheat grades except durum due to the significant softening of global wheat prices over the past fortnight.

The EPR for APW in the Eastern Pool was reduced by $30 a tonne to $326/t (FOB, GST exclusive) but the durum grade DR1 remains at $440/t.

The EPR for APW in the Western Pool was reduced by $41/t to now stand at $318/t, while the noodle grade EPR is now $318/t.

AWB Australia commodity division general manager, Mitch Morison, said the reduction in the EPRs for the Eastern and Western wheat pools reflects a significant fall in global wheat prices.

"While the Australian dollar has depreciated it has not offset the recent substantial declines in US wheat futures and global wheat prices," Mr Morison said.

"Chicago Board of Trade December wheat futures have declined over 50pc since record highs in February 2008.

"Many wheat farmers around the world increased their planting to try and take advantage of the high wheat prices last year and this factor is weighing heavily on US wheat futures.

"International wheat prices continue to decline as the Black Sea and Europe compete to attract export wheat sales."

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Comments


Date: Newest first | Oldest first
Now the deregulation crows are coming home to roost are they not?
Posted by Realist on 7/10/2008 9:09:46 PM
I agree with Realist. Deregulation isn't it good, screw the bum off grain farmers so that multi-nationals control the market. Just think if we were and oversea country, Kevin Rudd would come over and help us farmers. I think we need to start reminding these deregulators we told you this would happen.
Posted by Pedro -- Hanging in. on 10/10/2008 5:42:00 AM
So you think the single desk would have stood up against the CBOT and the global financial situation and maintained the grain prices that have been on offer? Wake up and learn a little bit about marketing guys.
Posted by Observer on 11/10/2008 9:08:07 AM
Observer's voyeurism shows a very blinkered perspective of our (grain producers) situation as it occurred and as is unfolding. First of all a well supported single desk would have been in a fantastic position to have locked in a huge percentage of the firm basis price back in February for growers, since then the basis has been inexorably weakening. The biggest collapse for basis support for eastern grain growers was in autumn. With the predictable end to America's building "pyramid scheme" and its world wide implications ONLY accelerating the basis disintegration recently. Today, with the grain buyers shamble having no clue as to their individual market share there is still only token market support from them. One of the only options for growers now in eastern oz who have not been in a position to safely forward sell is to store harvested grain for a long-term rally as farm gate prices approach the cost of production and the drought in the SE damages southern domestic supply yet again.
Posted by Hunger, the new world order on 20/10/2008 8:37:17 PM

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21/11/2008 | AWI's new board can only succeed in old battles by fighting in new ways.
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