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 Stone warns of more intense weather systems 

Stone warns of more intense weather systems

25 Nov, 2008 05:07 PM
Shorter, intense weather events are becoming more common across great swathes of eastern Australia, according to Professor in Climatology and Water Resources at the University of Southern Queensland, Roger Stone.

"Instead of the long, lazy wet periods, a lot of it is coming in short intense, dumps which could be climate change having an effect," he said.

Prof. Stone says these accentuated weather patterns have become increasingly familiar since the 1950s.

"The story of the day is the rainfall probabilities being above normal across eastern Australia," he said.

"There's opportunity for more storms and associated hail."

Meanwhile, the southern oscillation index (SOI) remains strongly positive, an indicator for ongoing wet weather this summer.

Currently, the seasonal outlook is suggesting a 50-70pc chance of median rainfall across Queensland into early 2009.

With the 30-day average standing at +14.04, Prof. Stone says the SOI remains "consistently, strongly positive", appearing to be climbing again – a trend that has been evident since June/July of this year.

The SOI is calculated from the monthly or seasonal fluctuations in the air pressure difference between Tahiti and Darwin.

A strongly positive SOI pattern suggests a high probability of above the long-term average rainfall patterns.

Conversely, a consistently negative SOI pattern is related to a high probability of below median rainfall for many areas of Australia.

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Another alarmist making sure their research funds keep coming in. There are normally storms and hail in the summer time. That is why farmers insure for hail damage.
Posted by Len, 26/11/2008 12:32:34 PM

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There’s opportunity for more storms and associated hail, according to Professor in Climatology and Water Resources at the University of Southern Queensland, Professor Roger Stone.
"There’s opportunity for more storms and associated hail," according to Professor in Climatology and Water Resources at the University of Southern Queensland, Professor Roger Stone.
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