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 High Aussie dollar costs farmers $1.9B in one year 

High Aussie dollar costs farmers $1.9B in one year

30/06/2008 4:07:00 PM
Global commodity prices may be 16pc higher than a year ago, according to the latest Westpac-NFF Commodity Index, but Australian farmers are beset by soaring farm input costs, persistent drought, labour shortages and a dollar that keeps climbing.

So bad is the impact of the rising dollar, that the NFF estimates it has cost the farm sector $1.9 billion in lost earnings over the last 12 months.

Westpac's senior agribusiness economist, Justin Smirk, says the rising dollar is crippling returns for Australian farmers, who are dependent on overseas markets for 61pc of their sales.

"As one of Australia's most trade-exposed sectors, farming has been slugged by the ever-strengthening dollar – peaking over US$0.96 in May," Mr Smirk said.

"The US dollar value of the farm index is up 34pc on a year ago but the 15pc rise in the AUD has significantly impacted those gains.

"The rise in the Australian dollar follows continued robust demand for Australia's major export commodities, improving investor appetite for risk and the ongoing buoyancy in the Australian economy.

"A strong Australian dollar not only puts pressures on our export returns, but it also stimulates the imports of commodities such as pork, fruit and vegetables."

Mr Smirk says one of the factors driving the strength in the Australian dollar against the US currency is the noticeable weakening of the American economy, where unemployment is rising, industrial activity is moderating and the housing market is in an extended downturn.

While the struggling US economy is pushing the Aussie dollar higher, there has also been significant movement against the currencies of Australia's major agricultural commodity export destinations.

NFF Vice-President Charles Burke said a much larger appreciation of the Australian dollar has taken place against the currencies for South Korea and Indonesia, which are major destinations for beef and dairy.

"Meanwhile, our dollar has depreciated against the Japanese Yen and the European Euro," he said.

"After weighting the currency impact according to the major export destinations of Australian agricultural produce, the actual currency impact for agriculture is an appreciation of approximately 10pc since May 2007.

"The NFF calculates that every 1pc appreciation in the Australian dollar equates to a $190 million erosion of farm incomes, resulting in the high Australian dollar costing our farm sector over $A1.9 billion since May 2007.

"Australian farmers are listening to the concerns of global consumers over higher food prices. However, the reality is that rising input and transports costs are a global phenomena compressing margins and lifting the underlying price of food."

Compared with April 2008 levels, global prices in May decreased for barley (-0.5pc), wheat (-13.3pc), cotton (-4.0pc), canola (-1.8pc), sugar (-5.7pc), wool (-7.9pc), and dairy (-2.1pc).

Only beef (0.2pc) recorded a marginal increase in the global price.

The overall weighted index decreased by 1.9pc during May, taking it to 16.1pc above year-ago levels.

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Comments


Date: Newest first | Oldest first
At last a honest article telling it as it is. We are all stuffed & hanrahan was overly up-beat. This so-called grain boom is a clayton's one. The housing market is a house of cards. The mining boom is the only boom. Due to the inflation they are causeing we all suffer. Pig iron bob told the wool growers in the '50s this and taxed us into submission.
Posted by THE FARMER on 30/06/2008 11:38:33 PM
What would be the situation if Keating hadn't unilaterally floated the Australian Dollar? The Oz Dollar was worth much more than the US Dollar pre-floating. So today's loss would have been greater. Is there any feedback on this?
Posted by Len on 1/07/2008 1:28:43 PM

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