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 Good rain coming in the next two weeks 

Good rain coming in the next two weeks

12/09/2008 1:58:00 PM
Long range forecasters are tipping falls of more than 25mm within the next week for a wide swathe of agricultural country, including WA's wheatbelt, southern Queensland and Victoria.

According to the highly regarded United States-based Center for Ocean Land Atmosphere Studies (COLA), most agricultural regions should receive between 10mm and 20mm before next Friday.

And some isolated pockets in northern NSW, the Snowy Mountains, western Tasmania and the south west of WA, are tipped to receive between 50mm and 80mm.

Then in the week following, between September 19 and 27, COLA says further falls of 20-35mm are expected for most of South Australia, NSW and Tasmania, with western Victoria to receive more than 50mm.

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Comments


Date: Newest first | Oldest first
hell...relief just wait till i tell my wilted and dying canola, i show this to my dying wheat and white f4 barley. may as well look at tea leaves as this rubbish, these model change every 12 hours so i ask the question? what good is the previous run of the model? oh editor cast your peepers over latest run, these models are nearly as big a laugh as the 24 million tonne wheat crop.
Posted by micko on 12/09/2008 7:54:46 PM
I have studied Cola very closely over the last 5 years and they very rarely get it right out more than one day. These sites have a habit of getting people's hopes up to see the prediction of rain change the day before. Sensational reporting of rain events does no-one any good. The BOM cannot predict tommorow's weather let alone 5 or more days out. They are a total waste of money.
Posted by Mark on 15/09/2008 6:55:55 AM
Still waiting in rainfall deficient Central and East Gippsland, Victoria !
Posted by bob on 15/09/2008 8:24:54 AM
As a rural support worker and a farmer, i find these predictions about how much rain we will receive are more harmful than helpful. It raises people's hopes and then when the predictions are consistently wrong (as are the TV weather reports) the subsequent downer takes us lower than we were before the raised hopes.
Posted by rmt on 15/09/2008 8:47:25 AM
I live in Northern NSW and i have to say that for the last 21 days the BOM have got it 100% right. We have been able to make plans based on these forecasts. I look at a number of sources and make my own judgements. This sort of information is very valuable to our business.
Posted by Don on 15/09/2008 9:53:53 AM
A forecast is just that - a forecast. It doesn't imply that every farm will receive the forecast rainfall, but that over a wide area, falls of up to (and sometimes exceeding) that amount are possible. Farmers have had poor rainfall in recent years and are right not to "build in" forecast rain. But you can't be worse off for knowing that it is possible in a certain period.
Posted by Firefly on 15/09/2008 10:20:04 AM

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Rainfall forecast for September 11 to September 19. Source: COLA
Rainfall forecast for September 11 to September 19. Source: COLA
Click for an enlarged version of these maps, detailing COLA's forecast for the next two weeks.
Click for an enlarged version of these maps, detailing COLA's forecast for the next two weeks.

Q: Do you believe the Rudd Government has a plan for the future development of inland Australia?

Yes
(7.1%)

No
(89.4%)

Undecided
(3.4%)

Total Votes: 757
Poll Date: 14/09/2008

11/12/2008 | Farm lobby groups will decide next week whether the future of farm representation will stay as it is or be broadened to bring in the big end of town.
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