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Commodity bull coming

20 Jul, 2009 09:54 AM
A "commodity bull" is on the way - for the moment, masked by the macroeconomic situation - but it will happen, Brett Stuart has told the United States' Cattlemen's Beef Board/National Cattlemen's Association joint international marketing committee.

For one reason, critical financial markets around the world have been improving since March, said Stuart, an analyst at Cattle-Fax.

Additionally, the world is expanding by 80 million people per year and will grow from 6 billion people today to 9 billion people by 2050, he said.

This growth in population will require food production to increase 30 per cent by 2020 and by 70pc by 2050, beef and dairy production will need to double by 2050 and all this will need to happen on only 13pc more land than is in production today, he said, citing estimates from the United Nations Food & Agricultural Organisation.

Food producers have "a bright future", he said. "There is a commodity bull out there."

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Date: Newest first | Oldest first
If farmers are struggling now with lack of water and environmental threats, how is our food production to increase by 70%, and dairy by 50%, by 2050! Climate change will be in full swing then, and the outputs will be less. At least a plant-based diet would go further and impact less on the planet, but it is hard to comprehend that out government is deliberately swelling our numbers by an all-time high immigration rate! Surely they are not intent on deliberately risking our futures?
Posted by Bob Ollie, 20/07/2009 11:28:21 AM
Bob, the Govt can't see that far ahead and are quite myopic when it comes to agricultural production. I'm not sure that your statement that 'a plant based diet would go further and impact less on the planet' is correct. If we stopped consuming animal products there would be a lot more animal mouths to feed. The green movement doesn't agree or they wouldn't be busy trying to stop farming and the clearing of land that could be producing that extra food. Whilst the animal libbers haven't given any thought to the question of how we would deal with an explosion in animal numbers.
Posted by DAW, 20/07/2009 2:17:17 PM
The biggest problem for this hypothesis is the poor & hungry don't own gold mines or oil reserves. If they did they would not be poor or hungry. How much more can the obese nations consume or waste? Not enough because all the fatties have falling birth rates.
Posted by THE FARMER, 20/07/2009 10:07:41 PM
Here we hear about a bull market and all of the nescessary food we will need into the future and yet mining is still number one. You can't eat coal, uranium or natural gas but here we are willing to turn our best agricultural soils into sand pits for short term fix. Do we need a better example of how govt's fail to look long term. Greenies and animal libbers are no longer the threat, watch out if there is coal below the surface as the real big boys will come in and push you off the land.
Posted by But govt wants coal not farm land, 21/07/2009 8:44:10 AM

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