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 Ag stocks come crashing down 

Ag stocks come crashing down

18 Dec, 2008 06:19 AM
After a long period of outperforming the wider ASX 200, agribusiness stocks have come crashing back to the back in spectacular fashion, according to the latest Commonwealth Bank Agri-Indicators report.

In the earlier months of the wider economic meltdown, the list of agri-stocks monitored by the CBA held up considerably firmer than the wider market, but now have begun to fall more rapidly, fuelled by some big falls in the share price of companies such as Incitec Pivot and Nufarm, which are two of the biggest companies covered by the report.

The agribusiness sector has fallen 20pc in the past month, compared to a decline of 10pc in the wider market.

It means losses over the past year are close to equal, with the agribusiness area falling 46.9pc, compared to 43.2pc for the ASX 200.

The fall in agribusinesses' share prices, however, has occurred in a much shorter space of time – with the vast majority of the slump taking place since June, compared to a more gradual fall over the past year for the ASX 200.

One of the major reasons for the falls has been earning downgrades, with significant downgrades forecast for some major agribusinesses by the analysts.

Volatility has also had a large impact, rising to levels of over 60pc, compared to an average of 12-14pc in recent times.

The CBA report suggested this volatility may ease back to just above the wider market in the coming months.

In terms of returns and risks, the agribusiness sector is regarded as one of the higher risk, but higher returning sectors.

The Agri-Indicators report is made up of a range of agribusinesses trading on the ASX, such as grains, livestock, input and managed investment firms.

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0% US interest rates indicates wider MAJOR economic problems globally, add to this local factors such as the large exodus from farming that will occur next year due to loan defaults and the shifting of the Murray Darling basin water use from agriculture to urban consumption all means it's all downhill from here for these stocks...There's only so long that Wall Street can continue to print money and hand it out before it all falls down like a house of cards. Look what happened to CBA shares yesterday for example, how many times can these people get away with 'capital raising' to get naive investors to pay for their mistakes before they get clued up? Buy a safe or put your money in your mattress.
Posted by George Soros, 19/12/2008 8:34:07 AM

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